Analysis of German Government BTC Holdings and Potential Impact of Fed Rate Cut
The German government’s recent BTC sales and the surge in demand for US BTC-spot ETFs have caught the attention of investors worldwide. These events have coincided with rising bets on a September Fed rate cut, adding further intrigue to the cryptocurrency market.
As Fed Chair Powell is set to speak on Monday, July 15, all eyes are on whether he will greenlight a September Fed rate cut. Recent US inflation figures have fueled investor expectations, with the chances of a rate cut in September soaring from 77.7% to 96.3% in just a week.
If the Fed does decide to cut interest rates, it could lead to reduced borrowing costs and increased demand for riskier assets like BTC. This could potentially drive up the value of BTC and US BTC-spot ETFs, with some speculating that BTC could break above $60,000 in the near future.
However, while the US BTC-spot ETF market is thriving, the approval of US ETH-spot ETFs remains pending. The SEC approved the 19b-4 applications for US ETH-spot ETFs in May, but the S-1 forms have yet to be approved, delaying the launch of these ETFs.
Despite the uncertainty surrounding the approval of US ETH-spot ETFs, the crypto community remains optimistic. ETH saw a 1.34% increase on Saturday, July 13, closing at $3,178. Investors are advised to stay informed and monitor real-time data and expert commentary to make informed trading decisions.
In terms of technical analysis, BTC is currently hovering above the 200-day EMA but below the 50-day EMA. A breakout above the $60,365 resistance level could signal a move towards the 50-day EMA and potentially the $69,000 resistance level. However, a break below the 200-day EMA could lead to a drop below $55,000.
With all these factors at play, investors are urged to stay vigilant and adjust their trading strategies accordingly. Stay tuned for the latest news and analysis to navigate the ever-changing crypto market landscape.